Saint Peter’s vs. North Carolina prediction, odds: 2022 NCAA Tournament picks, Elite Eight bets from top model


The North Carolina Tar Heels aim to end the Cinderella run of the Saint Peter’s Peacocks on Sunday at the Wells Fargo Center. North Carolina, the No. 8 seed, is 9-1 in the last 10 games, including wins over No. 1 seed Baylor and UCLA. The Tar Heels are 27-9 this season, but North Carolina faces a red-hot Saint Peter’s team that became the first No. 15 seed to advance to the Elite Eight. The Peacocks have upset wins over Purdue, Murray State, and Kentucky during the 2022 NCAA Tournament, and Saint Peter’s is on a 10-game winning streak.

Tipoff is at 5:05 p.m. ET on CBS from Philadelphia. The Tar Heels are listed as eight-point favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 137 in the latest Saint Peter’s vs. North Carolina odds. Before making any North Carolina vs. Saint Peter’s picks, be sure to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $1,300 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Saint Peter’s vs. UNC and revealed its coveted picks and predictions for the NCAA Tournament 2022. You can head to SportsLine to see all of the model’s college basketball picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for UNC vs. Saint Peter’s:

  • Saint Peter’s vs. North Carolina spread: UNC -8
  • Saint Peter’s vs. North Carolina over-under: 137 points
  • SP: The Peacocks are 6-0 against the spread in neutral-site games
  • UNC: The Tar Heels are 4-4 against the spread in neutral-site games

Why Saint Peter’s can cover

The Peacocks are very good in key areas on both ends of the floor. Saint Peter’s ranks in the top 20 of the country in free throw creation rate, and the Peacocks create extra opportunities with an impressive 31.4 percent offensive rebound rate. Saint Peter’s also converts nearly 35 percent of 3-point attempts, and the Peacocks should benefit from a conservative North Carolina defense that ranks outside the top 300 in turnover creation rate (13.9 percent) and steal rate (7.5 percent). 

Saint Peter’s is also excellent on defense, ranking in the top 25 of the nation in adjusted defensive efficiency. Opponents are shooting only 44.3 percent on two-point attempts and 29.3 percent on 3-point attempts against the Peacocks this season, with Saint Peter’s ranking No. 7 in the nation in shooting efficiency allowed. Saint Peter’s also creates havoc with a turnover rate north of 20 percent, and the Peacocks are strongly above-average in block rate (14.6 percent) and steal rate (10.7 percent) this season.

Why North Carolina can cover

North Carolina has the better offense in this matchup, both in terms of raw talent and statistical profile. The Tar Heels rank in the top 20 of the country in adjusted offensive efficiency, and four players are averaging in double figures for North Carolina. Two-time All-ACC big man Bacot leads the way with 16.4 points and 12.6 rebounds per game, and he is flanked by Love on the perimeter. Love is the team’s lead guard, averaging 15.7 points per game, and he scored 27 points in the second half of the win over UCLA. 

North Carolina is strong overall on the perimeter, making 36.3 percent of 3-point attempts and almost 77 percent of free-throw attempts. The Tar Heels are also potent on the offensive glass, securing 30.9 percent of missed shots, and Saint Peter’s is below-average in defensive rebound rate. North Carolina commits a turnover on only 16.6 percent of possessions, and the Tar Heels are above-average in assist percentage. Saint Peter’s struggles to keep opponents off the free-throw line, ranking outside the top 300 in free-throw rate allowed on defense.

How to make North Carolina vs. Saint Peter’s picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 136 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Saint Peter’s vs. UNC? And which side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.

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